Oscars 2025: Final Predictions - Awards Outlook

Oscars Category Dissection: The Technicals - Awards Outlook

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Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.

It’s FINALLY time for my FINAL Oscars predictions! There are plenty that were made with great pains and stress…and this will be one of the more surprising years so here it goes. Good Luck to everyone submitting a pool!

Best Picture 

  • Will Win: Anora

  • Should Win: The Substance

  • Got Robbed: Challengers

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best Director

  • Will Win: Sean Baker — Anora

  • Should Win: Coralie Fargeat — The Substance

  • Got Robbed: Denis Villeneuve— Dune: Part Two

  • Shouldn’t Be There: James Mangold — A Complete Unknown

Best Actress

  • Will Win: Demi Moore — The Substance

  • Should Win: Mikey Madison — Anora

  • Got Robbed: Zendaya — Challengers

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Karla Sofía Gascón — Emilia Pérez

Best Actor

  • Will Win: Adrien Brody — The Brutalist

  • Should Win: Sebastian Stan — The Apprentice

  • Got Robbed: Jesse Eisenberg — A Real Pain

  • Shouldn’t Be There: N/A (All Deserving)

Best Supporting Actress 

  • Will Win: Zoe Saldaña — Emilia Pérez

  • Should Win: Ariana Grande — Wicked

  • Got Robbed: Margaret Qualley — The Substance

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Felicity Jones — The Brutalist

Best Supporting Actor

  • Will Win: Kieran Culkin — A Real Pain

  • Should Win: Yura Borisov — Anora

  • Got Robbed: Adam Pearson — A Different Man

  • Shouldn’t Be There: N/A (All Deserving)

Best Original Screenplay

  • Will Win: Anora

  • Should Win: A Real Pain

  • Got Robbed: Challengers

  • Shouldn’t Be There: The Brutalist

Best Adapted Screenplay 

  • Will Win: Conclave

  • Should Win: Nickel Boys

  • Got Robbed: Nosferatu

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best International Feature Film

  • Will Win: I’m Still Here

  • Should Win: The Seed of the Sacred Fig

  • Got Robbed: Knee-Cap

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best Animated Feature Film

  • Will Win: The Wild Robot

  • Should Win: Flow

  • Got Robbed: That Christmas

  • Shouldn’t Be There: N/A (All Deserving)

Best Documentary Feature Film 

  • Will Win: Sugarcane

  • Should Win: Black Box Diaries

  • Got Robbed: Will and Harper

  • Shouldn’t Be There: N/A (All Deserving)

Best Original Score

  • Will Win: The Brutalist

  • Should Win: The Brutalist

  • Got Robbed: Challengers

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Wicked

Best Original Song

  • Will Win: “El Mal” — Emilia Pérez

  • Should Win: “El Mal” — Emilia Pérez

  • Got Robbed:“Harper and Will Go West” — Will and Harper

  • Shouldn’t Be There: “The Journey” — Six Triple Eight

Best Cinematography

  • Will Win: The Brutalist

  • Should Win: Nosferatu

  • Got Robbed: Conclave

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best Production Design

  • Will Win: Wicked

  • Should Win: Nosferatu

  • Got Robbed: Gladiator II

  • Shouldn’t Be There: N/A (All Deserving)

Best Costume Design

  • Will Win: Wicked

  • Should Win: Wicked

  • Got Robbed: The Substance

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Conclave

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • Will Win: The Substance

  • Should Win: The Substance

  • Got Robbed: The Apprentice

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best Visual Effects

  • Will Win: Dune: Part Two

  • Should Win: Dune: Part Two

  • Got Robbed: Twisters

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Wicked

Best Sound

  • Will Win: Dune: Part Two

  • Should Win: A Complete Unknown

  • Got Robbed: Civil War

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best Film Editing

  • Will Win: Conclave

  • Should Win: The Brutalist

  • Got Robbed: Challengers

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Emilia Pérez

Best Live Action Short Film

  • Will Win: A Lien

  • Should Win: A Lien

Best Animated Short Film

  • Will Win: Yuck!

Best Documentary Short Film

  • Will Win: Instruments of a Beating Heart

  • Should Win: Instruments of a Beating Heart

The Oscars air on ABC and Hulu March 2nd, 2025.

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