Awards Outlook - Final, Totally-Not Stressful Oscars Predictions

Photo from Entertainment Weekly

Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.

Every year, I get more and more stressed every year about these picks and that is because every year I analyze even more and begin to tweak and second guess myself and this year was the pinnacle of those fears. Some of these predictions are surprises with a very close second place and so there is a chance that I score very low come Oscar night, but that is what makes all of this fun. 

Best Picture

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Should Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Got Robbed: “Babylon”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Elvis” 

Best Director 

Will Win: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Should Win: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Got Robbed: Damien Chazelle (“Babylon”)

Shouldn’t Be There: (N/A)

Best Lead Actor

Will Win: Austin Butler (“Elvis”) 

Should Win: Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 

Got Robbed: John Boyega (“Breaking”)

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A (Have Not Seen All Nominations)

Best Lead Actress

Will Win:Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Should Win: Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) 

Got Robbed: Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Ana de Armas (“Blonde”) 

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Should Win: Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Got Robbed: Nicholas Hoult (“The Menu”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”)

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 

Should Win: Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Got Robbed: Janelle Monae (“Glass Onion”) 

Shouldn’t Be There: Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: “Women Talking”  

Should Win: “Women Talking” 

Got Robbed: “She Said”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Top Gun: Maverick” 

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”   

Should Win: “The Banshees of Inisherin”  

Got Robbed: “Nope” 

Shouldn’t Be There: “The Fabelmans”   

Best Animated Feature Film 

Will Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”  

Should Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”  

Got Robbed: “The Bad Guys”

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A 

Best Costume Design 

Will Win: “Elvis” 

Should Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Got Robbed: “The Woman King”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”

Best Makeup and Hairstyling 

Will Win: “Elvis” 

Should Win: “The Batman” 

Got Robbed: “Crimes of the Future”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” 

Best Original Score 

Will Win: “Babylon”  

Should Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”  

Got Robbed: “She Said”

Shouldn’t Be There: “The Fabelmans”  

Best Sound

Will Win:“Top Gun: Maverick”  

Should Win: “Avatar: The Way of Water”  

Got Robbed: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Elvis”

Best Cinematography 

Will Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”    

Should Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”    

Got Robbed: “Top Gun: Maverick”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Elvis”  

Best Documentary Feature Film 

Will Win: “Navalny”  

Should Win: “Fire of Love”  

Got Robbed:

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A

Best Film Editing

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”  

Should Win: “Top Gun: Maverick”  

Got Robbed: “The Fabelmans”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Elvis” 

Best International Feature Film 

Will Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”  

Should Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front”  

Got Robbed: “Decision to Leave”

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A


Best Original Song 

ill Win: “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR”   

Should Win: “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR”   

Got Robbed: “Ciao Papa” from “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Applause” from “Tell It Like a Woman”

Best Production Design 

Will Win: “Babylon”  

Should Win: “Avatar: The Way of Water”  

Got Robbed: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Shouldn’t Be There: “The Fabelmans” 

Best Visual Effects

Will Win: “Avatar: The Way of Water”  

Should Win: “Avatar: The Way of Water”  

Got Robbed: “RRR”

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A

Best Animated Short Film

Will Win: “The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse”  

Should Win: “My Year of Dicks” 

Got Robbed: N/A

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A

Best Live Action Short

Will Win: “Le Pupille”  

Should Win: N/A

Got Robbed: N/A

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A 

Best Documentary Short Film 

Will Win: “Stranger at the Gate”

Should Win: “The Elephant Whisperers” 

Got Robbed: N/A

Shouldn’t Be There: N/A 

There they are! Place your bets if you dare but do not hold me responsible when they all turn out wrong. Most importantly enjoy the night and the celebration of the movies. See you next week for my awards analysis.

Follow Sean on Instagram at @MathTeacherMovies

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