Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.

If you have been following this column, you know how absolutely low in esteem I feel about the Golden Globes, but like it or not they do begin to shape the narrative for the Oscars. While they do not create the exact mapping of what will win, they definitely solidify many aspects of the race.

Best Motion Picture, Drama

Will Win: “The Fabelmans” 

Should Win: “Top Gun: Maverick” 

Got Robbed: “She Said”

Shouldn’t Be There:“Elvis” 

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”  

Should Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Got Robbed: “Bros”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Babylon”  

Best Director, Motion Picture

Will Win: Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”)

Should Win: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Got Robbed: Todd Field (“Tar”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Baz Luhrmann (“Elvis”) 

Best Screenplay, Motion Picture

Will Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Should Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Got Robbed: “She Said”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Will Win: Austin Butler (“Elvis”) 

Should Win: Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”) 

Got Robbed: Tom Cruise (“Top Gun: Maverick”)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Will Win: Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) 

Should Win: Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) 

Got Robbed: Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Ana de Armas (“Blonde”) 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Will Win: Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Should Win: Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Got Robbed: Regina Hall (“Honk for Jesus, Save Your Soul”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Margot Robbie (“Babylon”) 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Will Win: Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 

Should Win: Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 

Got Robbed: Charlie Day (“I Want You Back”) 

Shouldn’t Be There: Adam Driver (“White Noise”) 

Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture

Will Win: Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Should Win: Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Got Robbed: Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Brad Pitt (“Babylon”)

Best Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Will Win: Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”) 

Should Win: Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 

Got Robbed: Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Shouldn’t Be There: Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 

Best Television Series, Drama

Will Win: “Better Call Saul” 

Should Win: “Severance” 

Got Robbed: “Andor”

Shouldn’t Be There: “The Crown” 

Best Television Series, Musical or Comedy

Will Win: “Abbott Elementary” 

Should Win: “The Bear” 

Got Robbed: “Barry”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Wednesday” 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series, Drama

Will Win: Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”)

Should Win: Adam Scott (“Severance”)

Got Robbed: Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Kevin Costner (“Yellowstone”)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series, Drama

Will Win: Zendaya (“Euphoria”)

Should Win: Laura Linney (“Ozark”) 

Got Robbed: Rhea Seehorn (“Better Call Saul”) 

Shouldn’t Be There: Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)

Best Actress in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy

Will Win: Jean Smart (“Hacks”) 

Should Win: Jenna Ortega (“Wednesday”) 

Got Robbed: Sarah Lancashire (“Julia”) 

Shouldn’t Be There: Kaley Cuoco (“The Flight Attendant”) 

Best Actor in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy

Will Win: Bill Hader (“Barry”) 

Should Win: Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) 

Got Robbed: Ramy Youssef (“Ramy”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Donald Glover (“Atlanta”) 

Best Supporting Actor, Television

Will Win: Henry Winkler (“Barry”)

Should Win: John Turturro (“Severance”) 

Got Robbed: Stellan Skarsgard (“Andor”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”) 

Best Supporting Actress, Television

Will Win: Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”) 

Should Win: Julia Garner (“Ozark”) 

Got Robbed: Sarah Goldberg (“Barry”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)  

Best Limited Series, Anthology Series or a Motion Picture made for Television

Will Win: “The White Lotus”  

Should Win: “The White Lotus” 

Got Robbed: “We Own this City”

Shouldn’t Be There: “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” 

Best Performance by an Actor, Limited Series, Anthology Series or Motion Picture made for Television

Will Win: Evan Peters (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) 

Should Win: Andrew Garfield (“Under the Banner of Heaven”) 

Got Robbed: Jon Bernthal “We Own This City”)

Best Performance by an Actress, Limited Series, Anthology Series or a Motion Picture made for Television

Will Win: Amanda Seyfried (“The Dropout”) 

Should Win: Amanda Seyfried (“The Dropout”) 

Got Robbed: Anne Hathaway (“WeCrashed”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Julia Garner (“Inventing Anna”) 

Best Performance by an Actress in Supporting Role, Limited Series, Anthology Series or a Motion Picture made for Television

Will Win: Jennifer Coolidge (“The White Lotus”) 

Should Win: Aubrey Plaza (“The White Lotus”) 

Got Robbed: Lizzie Caplan (“Fleishman is in Trouble”)

Shouldn’t Be There: Daisy Edgar-Jones (“Under the Banner of Heaven”) 

Best Performance by an Actor in Supporting Role, Limited Series, Anthology Series or a Motion Picture made for Television

Will Win: Paul Walter Hauser (“Black Bird”) 

Should Win: F. Murray Abraham (“The White Lotus”) 

Got Robbed: Theo James (“The White Lotus”)

Best Original Score, Motion Picture

Will Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” 

Should Win: “Babylon” 

Got Robbed: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Shouldn’t Be There: “The Fabelmans”  

Best Picture, Non-English Language

Will Win: “RRR” (India) 

Should Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany) 

Best Original Song, Motion Picture

Will Win: “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures) 

Should Win: “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR” 

Got Robbed: “Full Body Rhumba” from “White Noise”

Shouldn’t Be There:“Carolina” from “Where the Crawdads Sing”

Best Motion Picture, Animated

Will Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”  

Should Win: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” 

Got Robbed: “The Bad Guys”

The award ceremony will be playing on the ever popular time slot of this Tuesday night and so we will see my predictions and what this will mean for the Oscar season coming up in the next month.

Follow Sean on Instagram at @MathTeacherMovies