Awards Watch With Math Teacher Movies – July 5th, 2022: “Woahhhh, We’re Halfway Thereeee”

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Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.

The first half of the year is usually a desolate wasteland when it comes to Oscar prospects. They are far away from nomination time and are frequently overlooked while most of them deserved to be. However, once in a while there is a shining light and the attention and momentum can carry into the end of the year. 

As rare as it is, there are a few films from the first half of the year that have a chance of garnering nominations. The two that are the most likely to contend are Everything Everywhere All at Once and Top Gun Maverick. Everything Everywhere All at Once has the chance of a Best Picture nomination due to its popularity, but will probably settle for a Best Screenplay nomination. An editing or cinematography nomination would be deserved but that often goes for the more heavy hitters. It’s quite unlikely that Michelle Yeoh will get a Best Actress nomination even though the Academy owes her the nomination. Top Gun Maverick would be the blockbuster hit that gets the Best Picture nomination as it blends popularity and quality and yet the prospect does seem somewhat unlikely. 

The Batman was a movie that came out quite early but took audiences by storm and while there is not a lot of success with comic book movies in the Best Picture category this film could score quite a few technicals such as, Production Design, Cinematography, Visual Effects, Sound, and Make Up. This could lead to momentum that rolls to the top nomination 

Cha Cha Real Smooth was the audience hit at Sundance and then went to AppleTV+ which is the same path as CODA and while some people are drawing that comparison, Cha Cha Real Smooth is not receiving the same unanimous reception. However, Cooper Raiff will very likely get a Best Screenplay nomination and there is a very high chance that Dakota Johnson could get a nomination for Best Supporting Actress. 

Elvis has just been released and while it has some divisive reactions from critics and audiences its more likely in the positive. Regardless of peoples thoughts on the movie, everyone agrees that Austin Butler is spectacular and is very likely to receive a Best Actor nomination because he deserves it but also because the Academy loves to nominate the lead in a Biopic. The movie also possibly stands to win nominations for technical awards like Costumes and Make Up and with those nominees, Elvis could find itself a slot in the Best Picture category. 

It’s only half way through the year and there are already five possible nominations for Best Animated Feature. Turning Red and Apollo 10 ½ are from streaming services which puts a question mark on their qualifications, but they seem to be okay as long as they were played in limited theaters. The Bobs Burgers movie would be an unconventional pick but a very interesting one. Lightyear was given fairly mixed reception and low box office numbers but its Pixar background means it will possibly be an automatic shoe-in. The Bad Guys was a critical and Box Office hit and has the major studio of Dreamworks behind it. However, there are still other animated movies coming up that could mess up these nominations. 

The Northman and Men have the lowest chances at Oscar nominations, but there is a chance of them grabbing some technical awards, specifically for Cinematography, Production Design, and Costume. 

The odds of Oscar nominations are always low for movies in the first half of the year, but the occasional movie garners attention and it’s fun to see what slips through the cracks. 

Follow Sean on Instagram at @MathTeacherMovies

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