Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.
As we approach the halfway point of the year, it seemed like the perfect time to explore one of the more fascinating categories of Best Animated feature. This category often goes to a Pixar or Disney film but could be venturing from it this year.
There are two Pixar films released this year, one was Turning Red and the other is Lightyear. Turning Red runs the risk of not being qualified due to not having a theater run, but there’s a chance Disney can work around that. Lightyear meanwhile is a part of the Toy Story franchise and will grab the popular vote but hasn’t been getting the god level reviews a picture film usually does, which doesn’t mean it’s a loss, but does mean it hinders its chances.
Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers and The Ice Age Adventures of Buck Wild won’t qualify for Oscars as they are Disney Plus originals. Chip ‘n Dale might have too much live action to qualify for animation and an Ice Age movie hasn’t been nominated since Ice Age. A film that faces a similar live action problem is Marcel the Shell with Shoes On which is getting a theater run but also has a lot of live action and even if it’s on the line of qualifying, that could be a turn off for voters.
Netflix came close to winning the Best Animated Feature with Millers vs the Machines but Encanto steamrolled the entire time. This year Netflix has quite a few animated films that could all be contenders. It once again should be stated these films do need to be in theaters to qualify, but Netflix has handled that problem before. Apollo 10 ½ was a great film from Richard Linklater who has been in awards consideration before, but the film wasn’t terribly popular and the rotoscope animation isn’t usually considered. The Sea Beast is another netflix animated film getting quite a bit of buzz with unique animation which has been what the category has looked at recently. Academy Award winner Guillermo del Toro is making his interpretation of Pinnochio for Netflix which will definitely be dark and has a type of stop motion animation that the Academy could gravitate toward. Finally, there is another stop motion animated film that Netflix is releasing called Wendell and Wild which is a trippy movie bringing back together Jordan Peel and Keegan Michael-Key with Jordan Peele getting a writing credit and legendary stop motion director Henry Selick known for Nightmare Before Christmas and Coraline and those credits are too good to ignore.
The Bad Guys was the surprise of the year and was loved by critics and audiences alike. Dreamworks has a solid record at the animated Oscars with 2 wins and 13 nominations so this film is likely to be there.
The Bob’s Burgers Movie would be an interesting movie to get nominated but its unconventionality probably won’t reach enough voters. DC League of Super Pets is another movie that probably won’t measure up.
None of the Hotel Transylvania movies have even been nominated so Hotel Transylvania: Transformia definitely doesn’t have a shot at a nomination. However Sony Animation is also releasing an adaption of the beloved children’s book Lyle Lyle Crocodile which could at least snatch a nomination.
Luck is an animated film coming out on AppleTV+ from Skydance and yet nothing has been heard of about this. However, knowing Apple’s ability to campaign from last year there’s a chance it can be involved.
Despicable Me 2 grabbed a nomination for Animated Film and since then the Minions have been done to death and so Minions the Rise of Gru will probably not get a nomination.
Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank seems like the strangest animated movie around and yet it has been advertised heavily and it is internationally produced which could lead to an intense Oscar campaign even if it has poor quality.
It’s still very early to say which film could be the winner or even which films could be nominated, but there seems to be a general idea forming and it will likely be a Pixar or Netflix win.