Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.
The Documentary, International, and Animated Film categories often hangout in the sidecar of the Oscars but there are also the chances that films can intermingle with other Oscar categories due to heavy amounts of nominations. This is the type of a year where some of these films do just that, providing the possibility of influencing the main categories but also those large nominations could lead to wins inside the following categories.
The main connection of all three of these categories this year is the much respected and much praised Flee, an animated documentary which is also an international film. While Flee is nominated in all three categories, there are other nominees in each category that stand out and may take the win. Therefore, while Flee has so much respect that it really should probably win an Oscar, the question will be where?
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Summer of Soul
Writing With Fire
There has been a recent curse of Best Documentary where the top prospect did not receive a nomination. This year there were two front runners, one was Summer of Soul which was rightfully nominated and The Rescue which was unfortunately left out of the five nominations. It seems like Summer of Soul will follow the momentum to a win but in these three categories Flee has the best chance of winning.
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Drive My Car (Japan)
The Hand of God (Italy)
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)
The Worst Person in the World (Norway)
The International category has a great showing this year in getting other nominations in important categories. Flee is nominated here and in the other two categories discussed. The Worst Person in the World was nominated for Best Original Screenplay. Finally, Drive My Car is nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Director and Best Picture. Therefore while any of those movies hold the possibility to win, Drive My Car holds the most weight and will probably grab the win.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Mitchells vs. The Machines
Raya and the Last Dragon
While there is no clear evidence of a winner at this time, Encanto is doing everything right. It came out at the right time, gave out the proper theater release followed by the perfect timing for a digital release, and most importantly, it has the catchy songs that the kids love. While the other nominees are equally great, Encanto definitely will grab a win.
These three categories are always a fun and unpredictable time but as they separate from the rest of them nominations they manage to be interesting to watch.