Weekend Box Office Report: October 1 – October 3, 2021

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The weekend box office report is provided by Daniel Garris, courtesy of BoxOfficeReport.com.

Weekend Estimates Update:

Sony’s Venom: Let There Be Carnage arrived with an estimated first place debut of $90.10 million this weekend. The Andy Serkis directed sequel starring Tom Hardy, Woody Harrelson, Michelle Williams and Naomie Harris zoomed past its already lofty expectations to deliver the largest domestic opening weekend performance since the re-opening of theatres (comfortably surpassing the $80.37 million debut of Black Widow back in July). Venom: Let There Be Carnage also opened 12 percent ahead of the $80.26 million pre-pandemic start of Venom back in October of 2018 and delivered the second largest October opening weekend ever (behind only the $96.20 million debut of 2019’s Joker). Marvel titles Venom: Let There Be CarnageBlack Widow and Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings are now currently responsible for the three largest opening weekends of 2021 thus far (with Disney’s Eternals and Sony’s Spider-Man: No Way Home still to come). With respect to the overall state of the theatrical marketplace, the argument can be made that Venom: Let There Be Carnage feels like the first tentpole film not to have been significantly impacted by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic (at least as of this point for Venom: Let There Be Carnage).

Venom: Let There Be Carnage started out with $37.29 million on Friday (which included an estimated $11.6 million from Thursday preview shows that began at 4PM), declined just 15 percent on Saturday to take in $31.60 million and is estimated to decrease 33 percent on Sunday to gross $21.21 million. Venom: Let There Be Carnage opening exclusively in theatres in a fairly wide open marketplace, receiving stronger critical reviews than its predecessor and opening weekend demand being increased by the film opening just one week before United Artists Releasing and MGM’s highly anticipated No Time To Die arrives in domestic theatres on October 8, all contributed to the break-out success of Venom: Let There Be Carnage this weekend. Venom: Let There Be Carnage grossed an estimated $8.6 million from IMAX screens, which represented 9.5 percent of this weekend’s overall gross. While Venom: Let There Be Carnage will no doubt take a hit from No Time To Die next weekend, the film will also have the benefit of next weekend being the Columbus Day holiday frame and after next weekend will have a good chance of holding up relatively well throughout the rest of October.

Internationally, Venom: Let There Be Carnage started out with an estimated $13.8 million in Russia this weekend. That represented the largest opening weekend in Russia since re-opening. IMAX screens were responsible for an estimated $1.0 million (7.2 percent) of this weekend’s overall performance in Russia. Venom: Let There Be Carnage will open in markets in Latin America next weekend, before opening in a significant amount of international markets throughout the world the following week.

United Artists Releasing and MGM’s The Addams Family 2 was off to a legit second place start this weekend with an estimated $18.007 million. The computer animated sequel to 2019’s The Addams Family opened on the very high end of expectations. The Addams Family 2 was directed by Greg Tiernan and Conrad Vernon and features the vocal talents of Oscar Isaac, Charlize Theron and Chloë Grace Moretz. While The Addams Family 2 didn’t come close to matching the $30.30 million pre-pandemic debut of its predecessor back in October of 2019, it hadn’t been expected to, as the current theatrical environment as a result of the pandemic is currently having a bigger negative impact on family films than it is on most high-profile non-family films. The Addams Family 2 delivered the second largest opening for an animated family film since re-opening (behind only Space Jam: A New Legacy) and in doing so opened 12.5 percent ahead of the $16.00 million three-day start of Universal’s The Boss Baby: Family Business back in July. The Addams Family 2 opened day-and-date this weekend, as the film was also available via streaming as a PVOD title. The decision not to move The Addams Family 2 to a different date after Sony decided to open Venom: Let There Be Carnage this weekend was a risky one, but ultimately paid off.

Critical reviews for The Addams Family 2 have been poor, but the film proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The Addams Family 2 looks to be going over better with audiences after receiving a respectable B rating on CinemaScore (though that was just below the B+ CinemaScore rating received by 2019’s The Addams Family). Going forward, The Addams Family 2 could hold up fairly well in the weeks ahead thanks in part to no other family films entering the marketplace until Disney and 20th Century’s Ron’s Gone Wrong does so on October 22 and in part to the pre-Halloween season. The Addams Family 2 is being handled internationally by MGM and Universal and will start its international run next weekend in select markets (including the United Kingdom).

After leading the box office for the past four weeks, Disney’s Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings fell to third place this weekend with an estimated $6.04 million. Shang-Chi was down a sizable, but understandable, 54 percent from last weekend. In the bigger picture, Shang-Chi is currently the highest grossing film since the re-opening of domestic theatres with an estimated $206.11 million through 31 days of release. That gives the film a healthy current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 2.73 to 1. This weekend also saw Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings gross an estimated $8.3 million internationally (from 42 markets). That brings the film’s international total to $180.8 million and current global haul to $386.9 million. Current totals by market for Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings include $27.1 million in the United Kingdom, $14.9 million in South Korea, $11.5 million in France, $8.6 million in Russia, $8.4 million in Japan, $8.3 million in Germany, $8.1 million in Hong Kong, $7.3 million in Mexico, $7.1 million in Brazil and $6.6 million in Spain.

While there was a lot of good news at the box office in general this weekend, that good news didn’t extend to Warner’s The Many Saints of Newark, which had to settle for an estimated fourth place debut of just $5.00 million. The Alan Taylor directed prequel to The Sopranos HBO series opened below its already modest expectations and the film coming in below Shang-Chi in this weekend’s box office rankings feels especially underwhelming. The Many Saints of Newark opened day-and-date this weekend, theatrically and via streaming on HBO Max. It appears that being available on HBO Max limited the theatrical potential for The Many Saints of Newark this weekend (just as it has all of Warner’s other recent day-and-date HBO Max releases since August); especially given that The Sopranos was an HBO series to begin with. Critical reviews for The Many Saints of Newark have been good, but perhaps not as strong in general as many would have expected prior to release. However, the film looks to be going over poorer with audiences than it has with critics, as The Many Saints of Newark received a lackluster C+ rating on CinemaScore. The mixed early word of mouth for The Many Saints of Newark likely already had a bit of a negative impact on this weekend’s box office performance and is likely to continue to do so going forward. Internationally, The Many Saints of Newark has grossed an estimated $2.3 million thus far from 9 select markets, with a significant $2.2 million of that total coming from the United Kingdom. The current global total for The Many Saints of Newark stands at $7.3 million.

As for some of this weekend’s holdovers, Universal’s Dear Evan Hansen was down a concerning 67 percent from last weekend’s already modest start to land in fifth with an estimated $2.45 million, Free Guy declined a respectable 45 percent to place in sixth with an estimated $2.28 million and Universal and MGM’s Candyman declined a sizable 52 percent to claim seventh with an estimated $1.23 million. Respective estimated total grosses stand at $117.63 million for Free Guy through 52 days, at $58.90 million for Candyman through 38 days and at $11.80 million for Dear Evan Hansen through ten days.

In international news, No Time To Die was off to a terrific international start with an estimated $119.1 million from 54 markets (which didn’t include China). No Time To Die is being handled internationally by Universal and MGM (depending on the market). Since re-opening, No Time To Die is the first film to have an international launch of over $100 million without China being included. Estimated international debuts this weekend for No Time To Die by market included $34.8 million in the United Kingdom (which was the largest opening ever for a James Bond film in the market and the largest opening of any film in the market since re-opening), $14.7 million in Germany, $5.8 million in Japan, $5.3 million in Denmark, $4.6 million in South Korea, $4.1 million in Sweden, $3.7 million in the Netherlands, $3.2 million in Switzerland, $2.9 million in Italy, $2.9 million in Hong Kong, $2.8 million in Finland, $2.8 million in Norway and $2.4 million in Mexico. International IMAX grosses made up an estimated $6.8 million (5.7 percent) of this weekend’s overall international performance. In addition to opening domestically this coming Friday (October 8), No Time To Die will open in additional international markets in the coming week including France on Wednesday and Russia on Thursday. No Time To Die will open in China later this month on Friday, October 29.

In other international news, with new completion from No Time To Die, Warner and Legendary’s Dune slowed a bit this weekend with an estimated $13.7 million from 32 markets. In the process, Dune is estimated to surpass the $100 million international mark on Sunday with an estimated international total of $100.3 million. Estimated totals by market for Dune through Sunday include $18.6 million in France, $18.1 million in Russia, $13.4 million in Germany, $6.9 million in Spain, $6.7 million in Italy, $3.7 million in the Netherlands, $3.7 million in Taiwan, $3.1 million in Ukraine, $3.0 million in Denmark, $2.6 million in Sweden, $2.6 million in Hong Kong and $2.5 million in Belgium. Thus far Dune has grossed an estimated $10.0 million from international IMAX screens, which represents 10 percent of the film’s overall international performance. Dune will next open in additional international markets on October 15 (including Japan) and open domestically, day-and-date theatrically and via streaming on HBO Max on October 22.

Read more at BoxOfficeReport.com

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