Awards Watch With Math Teacher Movies – October 25th, 2021: Gotham Nominees

Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.

The Gotham Awards are not the most reliable in terms of predicting the Oscars. They often favor the more indie pictures. However there are more indie pictures becoming the central focus of the Oscars including nominees like Marriage Story or winners like Nomadland. With no clear front runners in most of the predictions, Gotham could be responsible for starting a narrative for some of these nominations, but that doesn’t look like the case this year. 

Best Feature

“The Green Knight”

“The Lost Daughter”

“Passing”

“Pig”

“Test Pattern”

This is a great list of films but most likely no one of them will be seeing a Best Picture Nomination and yet some of these films will see below the line nominations like The Green Knight and its technicals and Passing, Pigs, and The Lost Daughter getting possible performance Oscars, but none of them are sure things. 

Best Documentary Feature

“Ascension”

“Faya Dayi”

“Flee”

“President”

“Summer Of Soul (…Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)”

The main narrative in the documentary race is Flee vs. The Rescue and with Flee being the only one of the two nominated here, it seems to have taken a stride ahead. The other key nomination here is Summer of Soul which hasn’t been given much attention this season yet can hopefully grab a nomination come awards time. 

Best International Feature

“Azor”

“Drive My Car”

“The Souvenir Part II”

“Titane”

“What Do We See When We Look at the Sky?”

“The Worst Person In The World”

Titane is the movie that everyone is talking about, especially with France choosing it as their representative as the International Film category at the Oscars. However, The Worst Person in the World and Drive My Car are also prominent names which aren’t as bizarre as Titane. 

Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director Award

Maggie Gyllenhaal for “The Lost Daughter”

Edson Oda for “Nine Days”

Rebecca Hall for “Passing”

Emma Seligman for “Shiva Baby”

Shatara Michelle Ford for “Test Pattern”

It is rare that a directing breakthrough nominee could get into the Oscar nominations and this year seems like it won’t happen again. However, this is a talented and promising list of directors who are all either people of color or women or both and will hopefully be seen near the Oscars in the coming years. 

Best Screenplay

“The Card Counter,” Paul Schrader

“El Planeta,” Amalia Ulman

“The Green Knight,” David Lowery

“The Lost Daughter,” Maggie Gyllenhaal

“Passing,” Rebecca Hall

“Red Rocket,” Sean Baker & Chris Bergoch

The Card Counter and El Planeta don’t have a lot of popularity and momentum but the rest have a shot in a year where Adapted Screenplay doesn’t have clear front runners, The Green Knight, Passing, and The Lost Daughter are noble and talked about adaptations. Meanwhile, Red Rocket is the festival darling with so many loving the film and its writing, where it has the chance of being a fifth nomination for Original Screenplay. 

Outstanding Lead Performance

Olivia Colman in “The Lost Daughter”

Frankie Faison in “The Killing of Kenneth Chamberlain”

Michael Greyeyes in “Wild Indian”

Brittany S. Hall in “Test Pattern”

Oscar Isaac in “The Card Counter”

Taylour Paige in “Zola”

Joaquin Phoenix in “C’mon C’mon”

Simon Rex in “Red Rocket”

Lili Taylor in “Paper Spiders”

Tessa Thompson in “Passing”

With the exception of Colman in The Lost Daughter, Thompson in Passing, and Phoenix in C’mon C’mon not many of these other performances have the chance of being nominated for Best Actor or Actress and even those three are long shots this year for this most part. 

Outstanding Supporting Performance

Reed Birney in “Mass”

Jessie Buckley in “The Lost Daughter”

Colman Domingo in “Zola”

Gaby Hoffmann in “C’mon C’mon”

Troy Kotsur in “CODA”

Marlee Matlin in “CODA”

Ruth Negga in “Passing”

The biggest surprise of the Gotham nominations is Reed Birney being the only nominated performance from Mass of the four supporting buzzed about performances. His nomination is deserved but it was the quietest of the four which makes his nomination interesting. In addition, Ann Dowd is the potential winner and nominee for this movie and her lack of a nomination probably won’t stop that but this does throw a wrench into it.

These nominees most likely cemented a nomination for Marlee Matlin in CODA and also gave chances for Jessie Buckley in The Lost Daughter, Ruth Negga in Passing, and Troy Kotsur for CODA. The others are all great performances who always have a chance but aren’t as likely.

Breakthrough Performer

Emilia Jones in “CODA”

Natalie Morales in “Language Lessons”

Rachel Sennott in Shiva Baby”

Suzanna Son in “Red Rocket”

Amalia Ulman in “El Planeta”

Like Director, Breakthrough Performance does not often translate to Oscar and that is probably the case for this list of nominations with not one of them being an electric stand out. 

The Gotham Awards might not be the best finger on the pulse of the Awards Season but they do shed light on a particular corner of possible nominations showing a section that demands attention for future long shot nominations.

The Gotham Awards are not the most reliable in terms of predicting the Oscars. They often favor the more indie pictures. However there are more indie pictures becoming the central focus of the Oscars including nominees like Marriage Story or winners like Nomadland. With no clear front runners in most of the predictions, Gotham could be responsible for starting a narrative for some of these nominations, but that doesn’t look like the case this year. 

Best Feature

“The Green Knight”

“The Lost Daughter”

“Passing”

“Pig”

“Test Pattern”

This is a great list of films but most likely no one of them will be seeing a Best Picture Nomination and yet some of these films will see below the line nominations like The Green Knight and its technicals and Passing, Pigs, and The Lost Daughter getting possible performance Oscars, but none of them are sure things. 

Best Documentary Feature

“Ascension”

“Faya Dayi”

“Flee”

“President”

“Summer Of Soul (…Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)”

The main narrative in the documentary race is Flee vs. The Rescue and with Flee being the only one of the two nominated here, it seems to have taken a stride ahead. The other key nomination here is Summer of Soul which hasn’t been given much attention this season yet can hopefully grab a nomination come awards time. 

Best International Feature

“Azor”

“Drive My Car”

“The Souvenir Part II”

“Titane”

“What Do We See When We Look at the Sky?”

“The Worst Person In The World”

Titane is the movie that everyone is talking about, especially with France choosing it as their representative as the International Film category at the Oscars. However, The Worst Person in the World and Drive My Car are also prominent names which aren’t as bizarre as Titane. 

Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director Award

Maggie Gyllenhaal for “The Lost Daughter”

Edson Oda for “Nine Days”

Rebecca Hall for “Passing”

Emma Seligman for “Shiva Baby”

Shatara Michelle Ford for “Test Pattern”

It is rare that a directing breakthrough nominee could get into the Oscar nominations and this year seems like it won’t happen again. However, this is a talented and promising list of directors who are all either people of color or women or both and will hopefully be seen near the Oscars in the coming years. 

Best Screenplay

“The Card Counter,” Paul Schrader

“El Planeta,” Amalia Ulman

“The Green Knight,” David Lowery

“The Lost Daughter,” Maggie Gyllenhaal

“Passing,” Rebecca Hall

“Red Rocket,” Sean Baker & Chris Bergoch

The Card Counter and El Planeta don’t have a lot of popularity and momentum but the rest have a shot in a year where Adapted Screenplay doesn’t have clear front runners, The Green Knight, Passing, and The Lost Daughter are noble and talked about adaptations. Meanwhile, Red Rocket is the festival darling with so many loving the film and its writing, where it has the chance of being a fifth nomination for Original Screenplay. 

Outstanding Lead Performance

Olivia Colman in “The Lost Daughter”

Frankie Faison in “The Killing of Kenneth Chamberlain”

Michael Greyeyes in “Wild Indian”

Brittany S. Hall in “Test Pattern”

Oscar Isaac in “The Card Counter”

Taylour Paige in “Zola”

Joaquin Phoenix in “C’mon C’mon”

Simon Rex in “Red Rocket”

Lili Taylor in “Paper Spiders”

Tessa Thompson in “Passing”

With the exception of Colman in The Lost Daughter, Thompson in Passing, and Phoenix in C’mon C’mon not many of these other performances have the chance of being nominated for Best Actor or Actress and even those three are long shots this year for this most part. 

Outstanding Supporting Performance

Reed Birney in “Mass”

Jessie Buckley in “The Lost Daughter”

Colman Domingo in “Zola”

Gaby Hoffmann in “C’mon C’mon”

Troy Kotsur in “CODA”

Marlee Matlin in “CODA”

Ruth Negga in “Passing”

The biggest surprise of the Gotham nominations is Reed Birney being the only nominated performance from Mass of the four supporting buzzed about performances. His nomination is deserved but it was the quietest of the four which makes his nomination interesting. In addition, Ann Dowd is the potential winner and nominee for this movie and her lack of a nomination probably won’t stop that but this does throw a wrench into it.

These nominees most likely cemented a nomination for Marlee Matlin in CODA and also gave chances for Jessie Buckley in The Lost Daughter, Ruth Negga in Passing, and Troy Kotsur for CODA. The others are all great performances who always have a chance but aren’t as likely.

Breakthrough Performer

Emilia Jones in “CODA”

Natalie Morales in “Language Lessons”

Rachel Sennott in Shiva Baby”

Suzanna Son in “Red Rocket”

Amalia Ulman in “El Planeta”

Like Director, Breakthrough Performance does not often translate to Oscar and that is probably the case for this list of nominations with not one of them being an electric stand out. 

The Gotham Awards might not be the best finger on the pulse of the Awards Season but they do shed light on a particular corner of possible nominations showing a section that demands attention for future long shot nominations.

Follow Sean on Instagram at @MathTeacherMovies

What Do You Think?

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