Weekend Box Office Predictions: January 29 – 31, 2020

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Weekend box office predictions are provided by Daniel Garris, courtesy of BoxOfficeReport.com.

Entering the marketplace this weekend is Warner’s The Little Things. The John Lee Hancock directed R-rated thriller has an impressive cast that includes Denzel Washington, Rami Malek and Jared Leto. The Little Things will be debuting day-and-date on HBO Max on Friday, making it the second Warner Bros. release to do so (following last month’s Wonder Woman 1984). While Washington’s drawing power should help The Little Things stand out a bit in comparison to many other wide releases over the past few months; that advantage is likely to be balanced out by the film also being available on HBO Max. The Little Things also looks to be receiving a fairly standard amount of showtimes at many theatres this weekend, while critical reviews for the film have been mixed. The film (and the marketplace as a whole) should get a small boost this weekend from there being no NFL Playoff games (before Super Bowl LV next weekend). Over the past few months a number of films aimed at similar target audiences as that of The Little Things have opened in the $3 million to $4 million range (including Honest ThiefLet Him GoFreaky and most recently The Marksman) and it appears that The Little Things could be headed for a similar debut this weekend. Look for The Little Things to open in first place this weekend with $3.50 million.

Last weekend Universal and DreamWorks Animation’s The Croods: A New Age declined a very slim 10 percent to move back into second place with $1.80 million. This weekend the computer animated sequel will look to have another terrific hold to remain in second place. The Croods: A New Age continues to be aided by good critical reviews, strong word of mouth and the lack of new competition for family audiences. The film will also be playing in 25 more locations this weekend than last weekend (for a total of 1,901 locations this weekend). The Croods: A New Age could decline 11 percent this weekend to take in $1.60 million.

After leading the box office for the past two weekends, Open Road and Briarcliff’s The Marksman could find itself in a close race for third place this weekend with Wonder Woman 1984The Marksman held up nicely in its second weekend of release, as the film declined a very solid 35 percent to take in $2.03 million. However, unlike last weekend, this weekend The Marksman will be facing new direct competition from The Little Things and won’t see its showtimes per location average hold up as well this weekend as it did last weekend at many theatres. At the same time, The Marksman should also experience one of the weekend’s larger bumps from there being no NFL Playoff games to contend with. A 33 percent decline would transfer into $1.35 million for The Marksman this weekend.

Warner’s Wonder Woman 1984 will look to continue to stabilize this weekend, especially since the film is no longer available on HBO Max. Last weekend Wonder Woman 1984 took in an estimated $1.60 million, which was down roughly 26 percent from the previous frame. This weekend’s percentage hold for Wonder Woman 1984 should be even better with HBO Max not currently being a screening option, though the film will also have to deal with its showtimes per location average taking a hit at many theatres. Wonder Woman 1984 could decrease 19 percent this weekend to gross $1.30 million.

Other holdovers in the marketplace should continue to hold up well after experiencing strong holds last weekend. Performances this past weekend included $0.83 million for Sony’s Monster Hunter (down 11 percent), $0.78 million for News of the World (down 21 percent), $0.399 million for Lionsgate’s Fatale (down 15 percent) and $0.397 million for Focus’ Promising Young Woman (down 11 percent). This weekend Monster Hunter could decline 13 percent to take in $0.72 million, News of the World could slow 21 percent to gross $0.62 million, Promising Young Woman could decrease 17 percent to register $0.33 million and Fatale could decline 20 percent to take in $0.32 million.

This weekend will also see Disney re-issue 2000’s Remember the Titans and Bleecker Street open Supernova in moderate release. Remember the Titans will be playing in 730 locations, while Supernova will be playing in 330 locations. And after debuting with $0.25 million last weekend from 543 locations, Gravitas Ventures’ Our Friend will be adding 275 new locations this weekend for a location count of 818. BoxOfficeReport isn’t making official predictions this weekend for Our FriendRemember the Titans and Supernova.

Read full predictions at BoxOfficeReport.com

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