Weekend Box Office Predictions: January 22 – 24, 2020

Weekend box office predictions are provided by Daniel Garris, courtesy of BoxOfficeReport.com.

Open Road and Briarcliff’s The Marksman will look to lead the box office for a second consecutive frame this weekend. Last weekend the Liam Neeson-led action thriller opened a bit ahead of expectations with a respectable four-day start of $3.50 million. This past October, Open Road’s Honest Thief declined 35 percent in its second weekend of wide release to take in $2.35 million. The Marksman could be looking at a similar percentage decline in its second weekend, especially with no new wide releases entering the marketplace this weekend and The Marksman looking like it will see its showtimes per location average hold up very well in comparison to last weekend at many theatres. The Marksman will be playing in 2,018 locations this weekend, which is 43 more locations than last weekend. A 37 percent decline from last weekend’s three-day start would give The Marksman a second weekend take of $1.95 million.

After finishing in a very close third place last weekend with a four-day take of $2.51 million, Universal and DreamWorks Animation’s The Croods: A New Age is likely to overtake Wonder Woman 1984 to move into second place this weekend. Over last weekend’s three-day frame, The Croods: A New Age was up an excellent 10 percent from the previous weekend. The Croods: A New Age should have another terrific hold this weekend, especially with the continued aid of good critical reviews, strong word of mouth and the lack of new competition for family audiences. The Croods: A New Age will be playing in 1,876 locations this weekend, which is an increase of 21 locations from last weekend. A slim 10 percent decrease from last weekend’s three-day take would transfer into $1.80 million for The Croods: A New Age this weekend.

Last weekend Warner’s Wonder Woman 1984 placed in second with an estimated four-day haul of $2.60 million. After seeing its showtimes per location average take significant hits each of the past two weeks, Wonder Woman 1984 will see its showtimes per location average stabilize at many theatres this weekend. Wonder Woman 1984 could also start to see a bit of a theatrical boost from the film reportedly leaving HBO Max (for now) on Sunday. Look for Wonder Woman 1984 to take third place this weekend with $1.50 million. While there wasn’t an official three-day estimate for the film last weekend, that would represent a decline of roughly 30 percent.

Universal’s News of the World and Sony’s Monster Hunter remained close to one another in last weekend’s rankings with respective four-day grosses of $1.18 million and $1.09 million. The two films should remain close to one another in this weekend’s rankings, though Monster Hunter may move just ahead of News of the World this weekend, as Monster Hunter has been holding up better than News of the World and also had the slightly better per-location average of the two films last weekend. Monster Hunter could decrease just 19 percent from last weekend’s three-day frame to claim fourth with $0.75 million, while News of the World could decline 27 percent to place in fifth with $0.73 million. This weekend’s location counts are 1,661 locations for Monster Hunter and 1,874 locations for News of the World.

Focus’ Promising Young Woman and Lionsgate’s Fatale could also swap places this weekend, while continuing to remain very close to one another in the weekend rankings. Last weekend Fatale grossed $0.540 million over the four-day frame, while Promising Young Woman took in a very similar $0.537 million. This weekend Promising Young Woman could decrease just 19 percent from last weekend’s three-day frame to gross $0.36 million, while Fatale could decline 28 percent to take in $0.34 million. Respective location counts for this weekend are 1,236 locations for Promising Young Woman and 1,130 locations for Fatale.

Read full predictions at BoxOfficeReport.com

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