Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.
My name is Sean from @mathteachermovies on Instagram and I have a reasonably healthy obsession with the Oscars. Welcome to my inaugural weekly column where I will discuss the 2021 Academy Awards until its big night in April.
As 2021 begins, various critics and associations from the NY film critics to the LA film critics have already given their awards for films that came out in 2020. These awards are some of the first in helping determine the Oscar winners and nominations.
Bear in mind that these are critics and film snobs who don’t get a final vote. However, they are the first to throw things in the water and I’ll happily watch the ripples.Here are some of the initial projections:
Based on the majority of critics’ awards, Nomadland seems poised to be the frontrunner for the top spot of Best Picture. However, this is a movie that not much of the general public has seen this movie and while they vote, they do affect the dialogue surrounding a film’s reception.
Nomadland is also holding a potential Best Actress winner in Frances Macdormand who made some noise in many critics’ awards. However, Carey Mulligan for Promising Young Woman and Sidney Flanigan for Never Rarely Sometimes Always are also making waves in their much more independent and lesser known movies.
Chadwick Boseman is all over the board in wins and nominations at this time. He has been receiving honors for his supporting role in Da 5 Bloods and his leading role in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom. It seems probable that Boseman will be getting an Oscar. However, if the voters are focused on two different performances, there is a chance he could end up without a nomination.
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm’s Maria Balakova is the biggest surprise from the critics’ wins as she is the top spot for Best Supporting Actress in her improvisational comedy role. Amanda Seyfried is clipping at Maria’s heels with Mank but not getting enough of the praise to be a tough competitor just yet.
The Best Supporting Actor race is all over the place in the best of ways. Glynn Turman for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Paul Raci for Sound of Metal, and Chadwick Boseman for Da 5 Bloods are some of the front runners, but with no clear front runner, this could go anywhere.
The biggest surprise from the critics is the resurfacing of Da 5 Bloods, which has started to win back much of its lasting popularity after being released three years ago in June. Del Roy Lindo’s and Chadwick Boseman’s accolades are helping the film make a comeback and a discussion is beginning to form.
There is still a long road of speculation ahead. Some 2020 movies haven’t received a wide or online release yet and there are two more months of eligible movies for this year’s Oscars. But that won’t stop my constant speculation!